[情報] Athlon Baseball 2009 Angels Preview

看板Angels作者時間15年前 (2009/02/15 19:21), 編輯推噓18(23555)
留言83則, 12人參與, 最新討論串1/1
Athlon Baseball 2009 Los Angeles Angels Preview After years of searching for a middle-of-the order bat, the Angels landed Mark Teixeira from the Braves near the 2008 trade deadline. But their long-term plan was thwarted by stiff competition for Teixeira on the free agent market over the winter and the New York Yankees took the prize. The Angels are back to contending behind stout pitching and reliable fielding. They’re an aging group, and even modest improvement among their AL West rivals would make reaching the playoffs a bit more difficult. Rotation With departures from the relief corps and a continual quest for power, the Angels rely more and more heavily on their starting pitching. John Lackey has been the Angels’ ace for several years with little acclaim, but his consistency earned him a spot on the USA team in the World Baseball Classic. That’s how good he is. Behind Lackey, Joe Saunders and Ervin Santana offer a solid middle-of-the-rotation punch, though each trailed off slightly after torrid starts last year. Jered Weaver, who struggled to keep his ERA under 5.00 last year, appears to be losing some of the bounce he got from a deceptive delivery. Hitters appear to be figuring him out. The issue this spring will be sorting through some candidates for the fifth starter spot. Kelvim Escobar had shoulder surgery last year and isn’t expected back until mid-July. Meanwhile, the Angels let 14-game winner Jon Garland leave via free agency, not a bad move given his inflated price tag. Two candidates for the final spot are Dustin Moseley, who gave the Angels 10 up-and-down starts last year, and Nick Adenhart, the team’s top pitching prospect. Bullpen Letting Teixeira go may have helped the club continue the stifling relief that has characterized the Mike Scioscia era. The Angels used part of the money that would have gone to Teixeira to sign free agent closer Brian Fuentes to a two-year, $17.5-million deal. Getting Fuentes allows the Angels to continue using Scot Shields and Jose Arredondo in setup roles. Neither one looked like a sure bet as a closer. Shields has struggled in recent seasons, and Arredondo appears to be a year or two away from taking on the ninth inning consistently. It’s not easy to improve on Francisco Rodriguez’s record-breaking 2008, but few in the organization believed that his violent delivery and apparent decline in velocity merited a high-priced, long-term deal, so he was allowed to sign with the Mets. Middle infield Had Erick Aybar gotten a fateful squeeze bunt down against the Red Sox last October, it would have been a far more comfortable winter for Scioscia. Then again, Scioscia couldn’t complain with the production he got from the slap-hitting shortstop after Maicer Izturis went down with an injury. Aybar plays scintillating defense, but his double-play partner continues to try to catch up. Howie Kendrick’s main strength is his bat. His range and reliability at second base give Angels pitchers plenty of reason to fret. He might be the one Angel whose improvement could boost the offense to new heights. Kendrick was a line drive machine all the way through the minors and, when healthy, he has shown signs of punishing major league pitchers. He missed 24 games with a strained hamstring near the end of last season, and his absence made the lineup look awfully thin. Izturis could challenge Aybar for the starting shortstop job. If he doesn’t get it, he will again provide an above-average option off the bench at either position. Corners Now playing first base for your World Series-hopeful Angels … Kendry Morales? When the Angels lost Teixeira to free agency, it exposed their lack of depth at the position. To acquire Teixeira from the Braves last summer, they had to part with Casey Kotchman, who seemingly was born to bat .300 in the major leagues. The Angels signed Morales, a Cuban defector, because of his potent switch-hitting ability, but he struggled in 27 games after spending the majority of last year at Triple-A. The other option, Robb Quinlan, is a reliable contact hitter, but he doesn’t exactly inspire patrons to gobble up tickets. It’s not as if the Angels get much thunder from the other corner either, though Chone Figgins has emerged as one of the best speed men in the majors, particularly as he has shown a more patient approach at the plate. Scioscia always has the option of moving Figgins to another position — or making him an everyday utility man — but why would he? One reason to move Figgins would be a strong spring by 24-year-old slugging prospect Brandon Wood. Then again, Wood struck out 43 times in 150 major league at-bats last year, so don’t hold your breath. Outfield When a man bats .303, smashes 27 home runs and drives in 91 runs, it’s a bit premature to call him in decline. But Vladimir Guerrero, 33, appears to be showing the initial signs of a downward trend. His knees have given him problems three seasons in a row and his defense and baserunning have become hold-your-breath time. Still, if Guerrero leaves after 2009 (and he is a free agent) he will be remembered as one of the greatest Angels of all time. The question is, has the team done enough to make him the centerpiece of a championship club? Left fielder Juan Rivera must reward the Angels’ loyalty by emerging as an offensive force. The team allowed stalwart Garret Anderson to leave because it believes in Rivera’s ability. Torii Hunter had a decent first season in Anaheim, though his 108 strikeouts were a bit much. Gary Matthews Jr. (.242, 95 strikeouts) could go from forgotten man to starter as Guerrero continues to slide toward full-time designated hitter duty. Catching If Mike Napoli could ever figure out a way to avoid his yearly tailspins, he could be one of the best slugging catchers in the AL. Napoli managed to slam 20 home runs in just 227 at-bats, a scintillating pace. The fact he also struck out 70 times is somewhat offset because he is one of the few Angels willing to take a walk (35). If nothing else, Jeff Mathis appears to have saved a career that was teetering a couple of years ago after his long fall from top prospect status. Mathis provides solid guidance to Angels pitchers, though he rarely scares opposing hurlers. He batted .194 in 283 at-bats. DH/Bench Guerrero served as the Angels’ designated hitter 44 times last season and figures to see a bunch of at-bats in that role once again. Matthews Jr. isn’t happy as a reserve and it showed in his performance. He will get at-bats in the outfield when Guerrero is the DH. Reggie Willits was the toast of the AL West two seasons ago, but he struggled after being demoted last year, batting just .194 in limited chances with the Angels. The Angels have one of the better middle-infield reserves in Izturis, who figures to get at least 350 at-bats. They also have a reliable bat off the bench in Quinlan, but they otherwise are spread a bit thin. Management Scioscia, who signed an extension in early January, has power few Angels managers have enjoyed, and he appears to enjoy nice synergy with GM Tony Reagins and owner Arte Moreno. Angels fans applauded Reagins and Moreno for acquiring Teixeira last summer, but the cost could now come due. Final analysis Count on the Angels to stay at or near the top of the AL West, but not because they will win another 100 games. This team could take a big step back, opening the door to AL West teams that had little chance of keeping up last season. Beyond the Boxscore Still L.A. Yes, they’re still the Los Angeles Angels though they play 30 miles south of downtown L.A. In December, the 4th District Court of Appeal ruled against the city of Anaheim, which sued to overturn the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim name. Owner Arte Moreno changed the team’s name three years ago for marketing reasons. He left in “of Anaheim,” to adhere to his lease agreement with the city of Anaheim. In the middle of things Shortstop Erick Aybar had a busy winter back home. He touched off an ugly brawl in a Dominican winter league game when he charged pitcher Julio de Paula with his bat after being hit by a pitch. Three days later, he hit for the cycle. Offseason struggles Things were more grim for infield prospect Brandon Wood in the Dominican. He was kicked off Estrellas for poor performance. Wood batted .167 and struck out 16 times in 48 at-bats over 13 games. Representing his country John Lackey was a bit miffed not to be invited to pitch for Team USA in the inaugural World Baseball Classic, so he gave a quick “Yes,” when asked if he would participate this spring. “I’m real pumped about it,” Lackey told mlb.com. New look Want an indication of how quickly rosters turn over in modern baseball? Assuming Garret Anderson does not re-sign in Anaheim, the Angels have three players (Chone Figgins, Scot Shields and John Lackey) left from the 2002 world champions. Versatile arm Kelvim Escobar has always had some of the most dominating stuff in baseball, but his career has been split between relief and starting. Assuming he returns from shoulder surgery — he’s not expected back until after the All-Star break — Escobar could be slotted either in the rotation or as a flame-throwing setup man. Farm System 2008 Top Draft Pick — A lot of teams let right-handed pitcher Tyler Chatwood slide down the draft board because they had questions about his size — 5'11", 185 pounds — but the Angels had little to lose with the No. 74 overall pick. In limited action, Chatwood made the gamble look pretty good. In the Arizona rookie league, the hard-throwing California native struck out 48 batters in 38 innings and allowed only 25 hits. Because they drafted him out of high school, the Angels figure to take their time with Chatwood. If he reaches high Class-A by the end of this season, his career would be right on track. 2007 Top Pick — Jonathan Bachanov, RHP, University (Fla.) High School Had Tommy John surgery in December 2007 and missed all of last season. 2006 Top Pick — Hank Conger, C, Huntington Beach (Calif.) High School Hit .303 for Class A Rancho Cucamonga; could make debut in Anaheim in ’09. 2005 Top Pick — Trevor Bell, RHP, Crescenta Valley (Calif.) High School Had a so-so season in Class A; needs a good season to push his career along. 2004 Top Pick — Jered Weaver, RHP, Long Beach State Has won 10-plus games each season, but the trajectory on his career is pointing downward. 2003 Top Pick — Brandon Wood, SS, Horizon (Ariz.) High School Considered a can’t-miss slugging prospect in 2005, but he hasn’t proven he can stick. Other Prospects (age on Opening Day) RHP Jordan Walden (21) Only a 12th-round pick in 2006, but he has come on strong, including posting a 5–2 record at Class A Rancho Cucamonga last year. Has a career 2.85 ERA OF Peter Bourjos (22) He figures to be at Triple-A Salt Lake this year and is knocking on the door for when some of the older Angels outfielders move on. LHP Trevor Reckling (19) The Angels plucked him out of New Jersey two years ago, and he had a solid season at Cedar Rapids last season. RHP Sean O’Sullivan (21) Hard thrower had a solid season for Rancho Cucamonga and could push for work in Anaheim by the end of the season. RHP Kevin Jepsen (24) Has an opportunity to contribute in Anaheim in 2009 after performing well last September. Statistician 5 >> Seasons (of the last seven) the Angels have won 92 or more games. 21 >> Games by which the Angels won the AL West last year. .622 >> Angels’ winning percentage before the Mark Teixeira trade. .617 >> Angels’ winning percentage by the end of the season. .703 >> Combined winning percentage of starters Ervin Santana, Joe Saunders and John Lackey. 16 >> Blown saves (out of 20 opportunities) by Angels relievers not named Francisco Rodriguez. 10 >> Angels’ rank, out of 14 AL teams, in OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage). 2 >> Angels’ AL rank in stolen bases, behind Tampa Bay. 108 >> Center fielder Torii Hunter’s strikeout total last year. 50 >> Hunter’s walk total. Difference Maker When a player bats .368, .363, .367 and .369 in four straight minor league seasons, as Howie Kendrick did from 2003-06, you get a pretty good sense he can hit. That remarkable consistency has yet to show up in the major leagues, but Kendrick was showing signs of being a stalwart before he re-injured his hamstring last August. If Kendrick, 25, improves on a .306 batting average and ups his extra-base hit total from 31, he could give a big bounce to an offense that has a lot of aging players whose numbers could be on the decline. Kendrick projects as a prototypical No. 2 hitter, and he could team with Chone Figgins to give the Angels excellent table-setters for Vladimir Guerrero and Co. -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 118.160.65.183

02/15 19:56, , 1F
真是一篇大爛文...呵呵...
02/15 19:56, 1F

02/15 20:03, , 2F
XD 其實這種只適合非本隊球迷看看 已經瞭解很深的
02/15 20:03, 2F

02/15 20:03, , 3F
自然得不到甚麼新東西...
02/15 20:03, 3F

02/15 20:04, , 4F
其實東西很多是錯的...
02/15 20:04, 4F

02/15 20:05, , 5F
數據嗎 還是啥 我只有大略描一下
02/15 20:05, 5F

02/15 20:08, , 6F
其實就是看扁...
02/15 20:08, 6F

02/15 20:09, , 7F
不過沒差啦...被看扁也不是一天兩天了..
02/15 20:09, 7F

02/15 20:09, , 8F
要怪只能怪我們年輕球員一直沒真的打出來...
02/15 20:09, 8F

02/15 20:10, , 9F
不期待多,只希望一個或二個今年能大爆發就好...
02/15 20:10, 9F

02/15 20:10, , 10F
就夠塞這些人的嘴了...
02/15 20:10, 10F

02/15 20:11, , 11F
雖然他指出一堆缺點XD 不過前面說拿下分區冠軍比去年難
02/15 20:11, 11F

02/15 20:11, , 12F
應該不是說拿不到...最後他的預測也還是西區第一啦...
02/15 20:11, 12F

02/15 20:12, , 13F
我們今年開季比去年還強...
02/15 20:12, 13F

02/15 20:13, , 14F
我覺得數據頭應該發明另一套系統評估Scioscia的球隊...
02/15 20:13, 14F

02/15 20:13, , 15F
我們的隊手比去年呈現更謎一般的戰力...
02/15 20:13, 15F

02/15 20:13, , 16F
結果我們反而更不被看好...
02/15 20:13, 16F

02/15 20:14, , 17F
沒辦法...希望年輕打者今年能幫我們出口氣了...
02/15 20:14, 17F

02/15 20:18, , 18F
不過去年斷斷續續跟K-Rod的紀錄時 發現版上對去年信心
02/15 20:18, 18F

02/15 20:18, , 19F
也不強 但球隊還是贏了破百..
02/15 20:18, 19F

02/15 20:19, , 20F
贏了很多場被罵臭頭的比賽
02/15 20:19, 20F

02/15 20:20, , 21F
重點還是在打者....
02/15 20:20, 21F

02/15 20:21, , 22F
至於去年信心也沒有不強...是贏太多沒差了...
02/15 20:21, 22F

02/15 20:21, , 23F
Reviera,kendrik,morales只要打出來...napoli唯持水準.
02/15 20:21, 23F

02/15 20:22, , 24F
這個球隊不會只有西區冠軍而已..
02/15 20:22, 24F

02/15 20:23, , 25F
是阿 這批球員可是我們農場近10年的精華
02/15 20:23, 25F

02/15 20:23, , 26F
我印象很深的就是Teixeira打NYY的GS...
02/15 20:23, 26F

02/15 20:24, , 27F
當時覺得這球隊沒有弱點
02/15 20:24, 27F

02/15 20:24, , 28F
我記得小璜有打一支...鐵爺有嗎?
02/15 20:24, 28F

02/15 20:25, , 29F
我們有一堆該變砲確一直沒真的有機會變砲的打者...
02/15 20:25, 29F

02/15 20:25, , 30F
我還記得那局是2出局Edwar自己搞到滿壘 被轟GS
02/15 20:25, 30F

02/15 20:26, , 31F
結果那場最後被失誤害死...
02/15 20:26, 31F

02/15 20:26, , 32F
和一堆有機會變機關槍卻不知道在打什麼的打者...
02/15 20:26, 32F

02/15 20:27, , 33F
有人把Kendrick的打擊拿來和Rod Carew 相比
02/15 20:27, 33F

02/15 20:29, , 34F
Rod Carew...
02/15 20:29, 34F

02/15 20:29, , 35F
天屎官網討論區的人
02/15 20:29, 35F

02/15 20:29, , 36F
天使
02/15 20:29, 36F

02/15 20:31, , 37F
看了一下...應該是超不多...或者你直接說加強版的cano...
02/15 20:31, 37F

02/15 20:31, , 38F
差不多
02/15 20:31, 38F

02/15 20:34, , 39F
不過Rod生涯OBP是.393 ...
02/15 20:34, 39F

02/15 20:34, , 40F
ARK & SLK 是打者還是投手球場?
02/15 20:34, 40F

02/15 20:37, , 41F
我期待howie打個avg 0.330 obp0.380 每年15支HR, 50 2B
02/15 20:37, 41F

02/15 20:37, , 42F
那就夠了..
02/15 20:37, 42F

02/15 20:39, , 43F
Pedroia 08的數字XD
02/15 20:39, 43F

02/15 20:40, , 44F
Kendrick 3A&2A的OPS真的很驚人...
02/15 20:40, 44F

02/15 20:40, , 45F
天使隊史也只有大叔在2002年超過50 2B(56)
02/15 20:40, 45F

02/15 20:41, , 46F
我覺得40 2B就很不錯了
02/15 20:41, 46F

02/15 20:41, , 47F
HK-47在小聯盟根本就是屠殺 XDD
02/15 20:41, 47F

02/15 20:43, , 48F
嘿...他在當年holiday的rumors中..rockies評估他在山上
02/15 20:43, 48F

02/15 20:44, , 49F
是可以打到60支哩..呵呵...
02/15 20:44, 49F

02/15 20:44, , 50F
不過40支也很猛了啦....如果他真的打8棒...
02/15 20:44, 50F

02/15 20:45, , 51F
那就太殺了..
02/15 20:45, 51F

02/15 20:45, , 52F
HK47有三大缺點...1.容易受傷2.出賽太少3.沒有全勤....
02/15 20:45, 52F

02/15 20:45, , 53F
ya..看看今年吧...
02/15 20:45, 53F

02/15 20:46, , 54F
那Wood的評價為啥高過他?
02/15 20:46, 54F

02/15 20:48, , 55F
喔 因為SS
02/15 20:48, 55F

02/15 20:51, , 56F
其實我倒還蠻期待古巴人今年的表現 我是算蠻看好他的
02/15 20:51, 56F

02/15 20:52, , 57F
我覺得應該有 .280 .340 .480 15~20HR的成績
02/15 20:52, 57F

02/15 20:52, , 58F
wood 的power也比較好...
02/15 20:52, 58F

02/15 20:53, , 59F
kendrick有能力把球打到場內的任何一個位置...
02/15 20:53, 59F

02/15 20:53, , 60F
因此2B會多...
02/15 20:53, 60F

02/15 20:54, , 61F
不過他的另一個問題是BABIP...
02/15 20:54, 61F

02/15 20:54, , 62F
他也是另一種戰勝BABIP的典範...
02/15 20:54, 62F

02/15 20:55, , 63F
其實這幾年看下來,打者要真的站穩...
02/15 20:55, 63F

02/15 20:55, , 64F
花三年應該是必要的吧....
02/15 20:55, 64F

02/15 21:04, , 65F
猴子選手plate discipline普遍不好 包括農場選手也是.
02/15 21:04, 65F

02/15 21:05, , 66F
Boujous應該有成為第一棒的潛力 但選球還是蠻差勁的.
02/15 21:05, 66F

02/15 21:11, , 67F
剛爬了BA 06 Kendrick真的跟預期差距太大大大了...
02/15 21:11, 67F

02/15 21:21, , 68F
Howie的三大缺點不是等於同一件事情嗎? XD
02/15 21:21, 68F

02/15 21:26, , 69F
Cano 三大缺點:不選球、愛打第一球、沒耐心
02/15 21:26, 69F

02/15 21:29, , 70F
Belladonaa是襪迷喔@@
02/15 21:29, 70F

02/15 21:44, , 71F
我是ㄨㄨ
02/15 21:44, 71F

02/15 21:59, , 72F
我花了時間看完原文 才發現這篇文說了跟沒說一樣
02/15 21:59, 72F

02/15 22:00, , 73F
我還期待會有關於今年陣容的精闢分析
02/15 22:00, 73F

02/15 22:07, , 74F
不過我倒不知道Wood冬聯是因為打太爛才被踢出來的
02/15 22:07, 74F

02/16 11:13, , 75F
複製貼上一篇唱雖文就賺兩次優文 囧
02/16 11:13, 75F

02/18 17:23, , 76F
boujous ㄅㄐ!
02/18 17:23, 76F

02/18 22:14, , 77F
我們可以幫原po消掉這兩次優文,這對猴子板而言很簡單的
02/18 22:14, 77F

02/19 00:03, , 78F
那我先開第一砲好了 ㄎㄎ
02/19 00:03, 78F

02/19 00:08, , 79F
我這輩子從來沒看過這種要求的
02/19 00:08, 79F

02/19 00:56, , 80F
ㄎㄎ
02/19 00:56, 80F

02/19 02:53, , 81F
XDD
02/19 02:53, 81F

02/22 00:49, , 82F
這個要求還蠻西斯的 XD
02/22 00:49, 82F

02/22 08:58, , 83F
02/22 08:58, 83F
文章代碼(AID): #19b_gl05 (Angels)