http://www.sportsonearth.com/article/45821552/
Less than a month into the season, things are already getting tense in
Seattle.
Eric Wedge can sense it: He held a closed-door meeting following the team's
10-3 loss to the lowly Houston Astros on Wednesday, a disastrous outing
capping a disastrous roadtrip through the state of Texas. While getting swept
by the Texas Rangers -- and being outscored 21-3 in the process -- is no
one's idea of fun, the Rangers are a talented team in the middle of their
contention cycle while, simply put, the Mariners are not. Neither are the
Houston Astros, however, and even though the Mariners were able to snatch the
first of the three game series from them, the Astros took the next two,
defeating Seattle 3-2 on Tuesday before slamming the door on the rubber match
Wednesday night.
The Houston Astros should not be doing this to any team in 2013, let alone
one that was hoping to take major steps forward towards contending. The
Astros lost 100 games last year, and most people picked them to lose 100 more
this year; they're in the middle of rebuilding a franchise destroyed by years
of poor drafting and management, misplaced confidence in prospects that
didn't pan out and consistent overspending in free agency for middling
players in a vain attempt to at least reach .500. The team was in such dire
straits when Drayton McLane finally sold the club to Jim Crane that the new
General Manager, Jeff Luhnow, essentially had to burn the organization down
and start from scratch.
If that sounds vaguely familiar, it's because Seattle's only one or two more
years away from being just as bad as Houston was before McLane's exit from
the MLB stage. And while Eric Wedge rants and raves at his players and
benches starters for their even-worse backups, something's becoming more and
more clear: the only way to save the future is to cut out the present.
Seattle's management is living on borrowed time.
In a way, the Mariners' terrible start is a heavy dose of much-needed
medicine. It doesn't delude ownership or fans into thinking that the team is
just one or two pieces away from contention, but is instead in need of
serious re-evaluation. General Manager Jack Zduriencik has held that position
since the beginning of the 2008 offseason, and since then the team has
essentially stagnated, producing no quality home-grown position players and
effectively killing the development of any of the guys they've brought in.
Scouts who watch Dustin Ackley play for the Mariners now who watched him in
college marvel at how his bat-speed has just disappeared. Jesus Montero, the
"catcher" who came over from the New York Yankees, seemed to lose his ability
to hit right-handed pitching the moment he stepped off the plane to Seattle.
Justin Smoak, the former power-hitting prospect the Mariners got from Texas
for ace pitcher Cliff Lee, will likely be designated for assignment before
too long, and besides the waiver-claim happy Blue Jays it's possible no one
will even bother to take a flyer on him. When Michael Saunders developed from
one of the worst-hitting outfielders in baseball into a solid but
unremarkable hitter last year, by comparison it was like Seattle had just
gotten their own Jose Bautista: he and Kyle Seager were the only everyday
players to post an OPS over .700 that season.
If the Mariners are going to make this move, however, there's basically two
times they can do it: now, immediately, so that whoever ownership appoints as
the interim General Manager can make sure everyone's on the same page
internally regarding the Rule 4 amateur draft in June, or immediately after
said draft. Alternatively, they could present Zduriencik with the option of
staying on through the end of the season with the stipulation that he is not
to make any trades or acquisitions; the one thing the Mariners and their fans
should not want to have happen here is for the team to get moderately hot in
the middle of the season, get within five or six games of the second Wild
Card spot with a bunch of lucky wins or overperforming players, and for a GM
on the hot seat to seize the opportunity to trade away guys like Taijuan
Walker or Danny Hultzen for rentals. Remember, the only reason a number of
those players aren't in Arizona right now is because Justin Upton invoked his
no trade clause to avoid going to Seattle -- and as good as Upton is at the
moment, one guy can't win games by himself even with a 1.200 OPS. And
considering there's almost no chance a player anywhere near as good as Upton
with anywhere near his sort of team-friendly contract situation (relative to
his talent) will be available at the trade deadline, it's best if the person
running the team not even have the temptation of selling off what assets
remain in the Mariners farm system to see if he can keep his job another
season.
Another reason to start housecleaning right now instead of waiting is because
of the other thing GMs on the hot seat do besides trading away young talent:
rushing it. Brandon Maurer, for instance, probably should not be making
starts at the MLB level right now. He should be developing in the minors. But
he had a good spring training and since the Mariners need to at least look
competitive right now, into the major league rotation he went. He got
demolished by the Athletics and the Astros his first two times out, his ERA
was over 7 going into last night's start and his peripherals are a disaster,
with more walks than strikeouts his last time out against Texas. Maurer had a
good start last night against a stumbling Anaheim squad, and it's important
not to take that away from him, but until he refines his secondary pitches
and shows that kind of fastball command consistently he's going to struggle.
The Mariners should be sending almost anyone else in the organization, even
Hector Noesi, out there instead of him.
Mike Zunino, last year's top pick for Seattle, is being aggressively promoted
up through the organization as well, and there's been rumbling that he might
be on his way to the majors soon. This would be a mistake. Zunino isn't ready
and shouldn't be brought up before he is, and the timetable on him is late
this season for a cup of coffee and then next year as a regular at absolute
earliest. Promoting top prospects too early because of a hot start or two is
a dangerous temptation, and one which comes too easily to executives with a
sword hanging over their heads.
Seattle's not a contender, nor should they have been expected to be one this
year. They have Felix Hernandez, true, and a couple good pieces in the minors
that could translate their talent to success on the big stage, but pieces
like this from Sports Illustrated are writing checks that the organization
simply cannot cash. I suspect that as the losing continues and players like
Endy Chavez, Jason Bay and Raul Ibanez get more and more playing time, we'll
start to see more and more incidents like Wednesday night's closed door
meetings. Eric Wedge can yell and scream and bench his starters all he likes.
But in the end, Brandon Ryan and Dustin Ackley and Joe Saunders and all the
rest aren't responsible for how this season is going, not in the abstract.
They didn't put this team together. And really, that's the reason Wedge is
yelling in the first place: he knows who's responsible. And in situations
like this, he knows who gets held responsible first.
---
GM Jack Zduriencik和教練Eric Wedge的飯碗感覺蠻危險的了...
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 140.112.25.133
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