[討論] 放假的思考邏輯...不懂!消失
剛去賴清德市長臉書 看到先前文章的一小段如下:
風力部分,今天上午平均風速最高6級,瞬間風速最高9級,也未達到停班停課標準
(依照規定,平圴風速7級,陣風10級以上才達到停止上班上課標準)。
但今天下午的風力預測平常風速7-8級、陣風9-10級,才達到標準,並且研判
會有繼續增強趨勢,為了顧及市民安全,因此我們做了上午上班上課、下午
停班停課的決定,而根據今天早上的實際情況,及7點的最新氣象預報,上午
風力還是持緩未達標準,但下午風力轉強平均風速最大9級,瞬間風速甚至可
達11級,代表昨天的決定並無偏差。
--------------------------------------------
討論:
未達停班停課標準,所以照常上班上課。
=> 那下午下班時間呢? 不是早已預測到下午風力會達標準,而且研判會
有繼續增強趨勢,瞬間風速甚至可達11級,那下午 ~ 下班(下課)不
是正好暴露在暴風雨中嗎? 越晚越危險,下班延遲的.路程較遠的.晚點
接送小孩的....騎機車的市民就該冒生命危險嗎? (水上摩托車 落漆招牌
躲避術 路樹倒塌迴避 ....颳風吹起各種東西都能造成傷害。)
預估颱風的可能路徑,接近時間來決定放假~還要放寬幾個小時(誤差.
緩衝)時間,是很不好抓,但若如以上文章所述,根本沒有考慮緩衝時間
,邏輯也錯誤(下班剛好大風大雨,也研判越來越強),到底是怎麼了??
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※ 編輯: checktime (39.10.167.214), 09/14/2016 22:09:23
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