[新聞] 房市回溫或假象?Q3成交量有答案
連結:http://0rz.tw/mEQM1
內文:房市回溫或假象? Q3成交量有答案
2017/09/09 10:38
好房網News記者鍾釗榛/台北報導
房市交易回溫是榮景還是假象,這個答案在第三季就看出徵兆,今年全台買賣移轉棟數,從農曆年後2月的12,257棟一路飆升至六月的20,3578棟,但是從7月開始竟跌回17,062棟,而8月也只有維持平盤的17,775棟,由此可見買盤力道開始變弱,賣壓警訊浮現。
7月新北市跌幅高達24.8%,居次的台中也下修19.3%,另外台北市跌了9.7%,而六都全月平均移轉棟數下跌16.2%。(好房網News記者陳韋帆/攝影)
7月新北市跌幅高達24.8%,居次的台中也下修19.3%,另外台北市跌了9.7%,而六都全月平均移轉棟數下跌16.2%。雖然8月的表現較為平穩,但交易量也只拉回4%,由這樣的數字會發現,移轉棟數已經出現萎縮的情況,今年第四季很有可能會再出現微幅下滑的狀況,所以年初帶起的交易回升僅是曇花一現,判斷交易量回溫僅是價格盤整後出現的短暫買氣。
政治大學地政系教授張金鶚表示,目前依舊在房市盤整的階段,價格是最主要因素,只要價格不下來,交易量就很難回來,雖然市場上大家都在喊今年上半年的房市交易量有回春,但是有明顯上升的僅止於第一季的表現,第二季看來沒有明顯再度上升的態勢,房市的交易能量並沒有強勢回歸。
另一方面價格下修較多的重劃區,大致上從去年開始就有重劃區出現破盤價,一但建商開出的降價風潮開始持續,部分交易低迷的重劃區也陸續跟風降價以求刺激買氣,所以這些破盤價格也為交易量帶來助益,卻也證明買方的觀望心態依舊沒有改變,所以許多人還在等待價格繼續下修。
心得:新北市跌幅可以理解,淡水
板橋新莊等。但台中跌幅居
次?!令人驚訝!台中不是
火熱噴到不行!?個人認為
終究是台中餘屋量太大了!
啊………不是都完銷秒殺?
--
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