[討論] 台灣最大化戰爭潛力,能單挑中國多久
這邊很多檢討國軍,檢討民防,檢討民人的說法,
所以我想估計一個benchmark
假設戰前外在條件不變(比方美國軍售項目只包含升級F16,不賣F35)
但台灣島內能像操控電玩那樣令行禁止
國防預算拉到4趴或更多
兵源能像新,韓,以一樣兩年義務役
高學歷台派大學生踴躍報考飛常班
政治上都能夠過關
經濟上也沒有負面影響 (南韓,以色列,新加坡的新創都是世界名列前茅)
然後陸軍也能理解最現代的軍事觀念
能夠在編制,後勤,火力上做到最佳化
在內在因素能做到最好的假設之下,
若是美國在戰爭時不直接參戰(雖然csis兵推是假設參戰)
而是以烏克蘭模式援助台灣 (靠美國海軍維持補給線)
那台灣可以單挑中國多久不被攻陷?
反之,在現在這種及格邊緣的準備度下,能維持多久?
我自己的看法是,前者無限久,後者就跟烏克蘭一樣久。但若能對台灣實施完全封鎖,那不
管我們準備的再好,贏面都不大。
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