Re: [討論] 可以展望明年球季了
看板Diamondbacks作者abc12812 (Sudba tseloveka)時間15年前 (2008/10/04 16:42)推噓3(3推 0噓 2→)留言5則, 3人參與討論串3/5 (看更多)
提出一些個人看法
※ 引述《abc12812 (Sudba tseloveka)》之銘言:
: ※ 引述《abc12812 (Sudba tseloveka)》之銘言:
: : 大家對明年球隊陣容有什麼看法呢?
: : 歡迎提出來討論
: http://tinyurl.com/4d3zns
: The Diamondbacks are next in our Offseason Outlook series. Their setup for
: 2009:
: C - Chris Snyder - $1.85MM+
: C - Miguel Montero - $401K
: 1B - Chad Tracy - $4.75MM
: 2B -
: SS - Stephen Drew - $1.5MM
: 3B - Mark Reynolds - $400K
: IF - Augie Ojeda - $550K+
: IF/OF - Chris Burke - $955K+
: LF - Conor Jackson - $420K+
: CF - Chris Young - $1.75MM
: RF - Justin Upton - $1.3MM
: OF - Eric Byrnes - $11MM
: OF - Alex Romero - $400K
: SP - Brandon Webb - $6.5MM
: SP - Dan Haren - $7.5MM
: SP - Doug Davis - $8.75MM
: SP - Edgar Gonzalez - $411K+
: SP - Max Scherzer - $1.075MM
: RP - Chad Qualls - $1.3125MM+
: RP - Jon Rauch - $2MM
: RP - Tony Pena - $406K
: RP - Yusmeiro Petit - $400K
: RP - Doug Slaten - $401K
: RP - Leo Rosales - $400K
: RP - Billy Buckner - $400K
: Non-tender candidates: Wil Ledezma - $620K+, Chris Burke - $955K+
這兩個都留下來是最好
Ledezma有stuff可以練,練得起來會是下個Cruz,還可以便宜用三年
練不起來也沒啥損失
Burke應該還有些潛力可以開發
最低限度,他的防守很好,會是不錯的工具人
: The D'Backs have about $55MM committed, plus arbitration raises to Snyder,
: Burke, Jackson, Gonzalez, Qualls, and Ledezma. A few of those guys could be
: non-tendered, keeping the D'Backs under $60MM. They started '08 at $66.2MM,
: though I believe the D'Backs take more of a long-term view toward payroll.
: MLB.com's Steve Gilbert figures they'll have less than $10MM to spend.
: The Diamondbacks were in the middle of the NL for OBP and SLG. They have
: positional flexibility with Jackson, Reynolds, Tracy, and Byrnes, though only
: Jackson posted a strong OBP among those four.
: Looking at the market, it probably makes sense to put Jackson at first base
: and acquire a left fielder if possible. Raul Ibanez, Adam Dunn, Pat Burrell,
: and Manny Ramirez are the top free agent left fielders. Bobby Abreu could
: also fit. However, these players will all cost more than $10MM a year. GM
: Josh Byrnes says he's more likely to hit the free agent market than make
: trades, since the D'Backs traded so many prospects in '08. Byrnes will have
: to find a bargain, maybe a Juan Rivera type. The D'Backs also need a second
: or third baseman depending on where Reynolds plays. There's just not enough
: money unless payroll goes up.
: The team's pitching staff looks respectable, though losing Randy Johnson would
: hurt. I can't see how they can re-sign him and add an offensive player for a
: total of $10MM. Scherzer will have to have a big year if Johnson leaves.
: With Qualls, Rauch, and Pena, it seems the pen can withstand the losses of
: Juan Cruz and Brandon Lyon.
: It's kind of awkward having Byrnes as the highest-paid player on the team, as
: he could end up the fourth outfielder if Jackson plays left. With $22MM
: remaining on his deal (and a no-trade clause), the D'Backs would have to take
: on a bad contract in return. Nick Piecoro had an interesting idea with Luis
: Castillo.
: Once again the D'Backs will look to improve offensively mainly through
: development of their young players. Young and Upton do seem poised for
: breakouts. It also seems likely the D'Backs will make a few midseason trades
: as they did in '08.
明年重點大概就三個:
1.二壘
2.牛棚
3.大砲
二壘補強部分,其實可以考慮Edgar Renteria看看
他今年打爛了,明年應該會是尋求一年的打工機會打出身價,剛好符合我們的需求
而老虎隊給他薪資仲裁的機會我想是不太高,所以不用擔心損失選秀的問題
預測會是7M/1y的合約(當然不一定會是響尾蛇簽下)
重簽David Eckstein也是不錯的選擇
攻守都有一定水準,運氣好還可偷到個type B選秀
牛棚部分,大概還是老樣子
不會穩,但也不至於說很差,畢竟該補的人選都有補到
就看Melvin明年洗牛會不會聰明一點
再來就是看Daniel Schlereth什麼時候要上來
大砲方面,我知道很多版友都想re-sign Dunn,但其實這不是聰明的做法
Adam Dunn的打擊貢獻被他的全壘打數字灌水許多,加上防守很爛
其實他的價值是被市場高估許多的
今年他替響尾蛇多打下14分,但防守也多丟8分,真正的貢獻其實只有打擊分數的一半
而且這種型態的球員會是衰退迅速的型態,長約風險又比其他人高了許多
簽他還不如再多加碼一些搶Teixeira,簽Giambi或是Delgado賭賭看也是不錯的選擇
Brian Giles也是可以觀察的對象(如果教士不撿他的選擇權)
剩下還有一些想講的,不過改天再說...
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