Re: Draft pick的效益
※ 引述《alex710707 ()》之銘言:
恕刪
The Hardball Times有一篇比較新的
http://www.hardballtimes.com/the-net-value-of-draft-picks/
用pre-FA的WAR以及實際薪水加簽約金跟選秀順位
1 WAR的價值大概是7 million
可以算出來1-5順位的net value是54.7 million
(net value = WAR*7 million - (total preFA salary + bonus) )
26-30順位是16.6 million
如果考慮未來薪水的遞減在今天的價值的話
如果考慮每年5%的遞減的話
26-30順位的籤大概在今天是10.9 million
每年10%遞減的話
26-30順位的籤大概在今天是8.1 milion
這樣看來的話1-5順位的價值在今天會在20 - 30 million之間
而拿11-15順位的球隊簽QO可能需要比1-10順位的球隊簽QO
要多花5~10 million
當然也有人說如果考慮不確定性在投資報酬裡
選秀順位的價值可能還是要比本文章講的再低一些
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※ 編輯: WillWaiting (128.42.80.27), 03/26/2016 08:50:24
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03/26 09:06, , 1F
03/26 09:06, 1F
※ 編輯: WillWaiting (128.42.80.27), 03/26/2016 09:17:53
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03/26 18:42, , 35F
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03/27 00:25, , 50F
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03/28 00:21, , 63F
03/28 00:21, 63F
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